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Monday, July 7, 2014

QL Resources

QL Resources is a company that I wanted to invest for a long long time. Back then in 2009, there are tips circling around that the price would double within a certain period. Being a skeptic, I chose to forgo this information as these types of rumours are usually obsolete by the time they reach normal investors like us. Boy, I was wrong!

At that time, the share price was RM 3.50 with 330million shares and the current price is RM3.58 with 1.248billion shares. This means the stock value has quadrupled in about 5 years. The list of corporate exercises that QL have undertaken in these 5 years:

The QL financial highlights for the past 5 years:


The pulling factors:
1) Resilient business model
QL is involved in common staples like eggs, poultry, meat and surimi that is supported by rising consumption locally and overseas. Even in economic downturn the demand for staples will only be slightly affected. As QL aggressively expand it's production, it stand to benefit from ever larger economy of scales.

2) Good management team that are hands-on and have a defined vision: 
Their vision is to become a global agro-based enterprise. It is very important for a company to have a vision and implement it. For me, QL is slowly working towards achieving it. We might be seeing Datuk Chia Song Kun be a "Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow" in food sector in a decade's time. QL's strategy towards it's vision are:
      - regional expansion and business model replication
      - strengthening and further integration of the value chain
      - development of a stronger presence in the consumer food market
QL's board of directors might be filled with the Chia family members but this is not a bad thing as they are united and are very experienced in this field.

3) Increasing presence in China, Vietnam and Indonesia:
QL has just acquired Zhongshan Food (ZF), a company that produce and sell various kinds of frozen minced fish fillets and other flavoured foods to China's domestic market. QL plan to expand ZF's range of products to build a presence in the China market that is estimated to be USD30 billion by 2015. Meanwhile the contribution from Indonesian and Vietnam operations are steadily increasing : RM250 million in FY2013 from RM109 million in FY2012. Although the profit margin from these operations are still marginal, it will improve as the production volume increases. As the middle class population in Southeast Asia and China continues to grow, the demand for protein food will increase and QL will stand to benefit.

4) Imminent Contribution from Palm Oil sector:
The maturing palm oil segment will contribute more to the bottom line once the CPO recovers.

Risk:
1) Rising raw feed material
2) No successor in sight


Today I bought 3000 units @ RM3.58. Guess the reason?

Huat fund looks like this after this transaction:
Financial assets at 07.07.2014

Name
Purchase Date
Purchase Price
Current Price
Unit
Current Value
P/L ex Dividend (%)
Dividend
P/L inc Dividend (%)
Cash
Hle-Broking


5072.23






Inari
24/02/14
2.30
3.11
10000
31100
35.4
72.5
35.7
Sunreit
04/10/13
1.40
1.42
5000
7100
1.6
282.75
5.7
Cypark
22/10/13
2.17
2.86
3000
8580
31.7
147.5
34.0
Jaya Tiasa
24/04/14
2.74
2.58
2000
5160
-6.0

-6.0
Westport
09/05/14
2.77
2.7
1000
2700
-2.5

-2.5
QL
07/07/14
3.60
3.54
3000
10620
-1.6

-1.6
Hovid
14/04/14
0.34
0.41
20000
8200
20.0

20.0
Total Stock
73460.00
93.5
%
502.75
Total cash
5072.23
6.5
%
Total
78532.23
Capital
50000.00
Current paper gain
11106.71
Total profit including current paper gain
28532.23
57.1
%
Total dividend
889.18

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